Formation of ethnic and language structure of the population of the Republic of Belarus and ethnodemographic forecast until 2069

The Republic of Belarus is characterized by unique features ethnolinguistic processes in the post-Soviet space, namely, multidirectional changes ethnic structure population and use Russian Belarusian languages. study devoted to identifying specifics demographic reproduction most numerous groups connection with changing language policy, as well forecasting their numbers until 2069. uses a modified cohort-component method, which based on shift ages, its advantage taking into account uneven distribution age sex cohorts. If trends self-identification that emerged period persist, significant increase share Belarusians expected next half century, while almost all other will decrease (Jews Gypsies may be an exception). losses proportion are two - Russians Ukrainians. number Lithuanians also noticeably decrease, lesser extent, Poles Tatars. While maintaining current geopolitical situation coming decades, we should expect further calls native home communication. In event change vector pro-Western one, slow possible. With strengthening political integration Russia, reverse identity not ruled out.